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8 of 8 matches with xG: 24 goals from 23.8 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryne 4–3 Fredrikstad | 2.39–1.75 | 52% · 19% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Bryne |
| Bodo/Glimt 4–0 Rosenborg | 1.89–1.02 | 58% · 22% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Bodo/Glimt |
| Ham-Kam 2–1 Molde | 1.14–1.20 | 34% · 28% · 37% | Close call, Ham-Kam won |
| Kristiansund BK 0–1 Viking | 0.86–1.20 | 26% · 30% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Viking |
| Sandefjord 3–2 Stromsgodset | 3.92–0.69 | 91% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Sandefjord |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF 0–1 Tromso | 1.80–0.98 | 57% · 23% · 20% | Won against the xG: Tromso |
| Haugesund 0–2 Brann | 0.51–2.26 | 7% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Brann |
| KFUM Oslo 0–1 Valerenga | 1.19–0.98 | 41% · 29% · 30% | Close call, Valerenga won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.