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5 of 6 matches with xG: 12 goals from 12.7 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 2 de Mayo | 1.10–1.61 | 26% · 25% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Olimpia 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno | 2.66–0.50 | 83% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Olimpia |
| Rubio NU 2–0 Cerro Porteno | 1.87–1.03 | 57% · 22% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Rubio NU |
| Club Guarani 3–1 Deportivo Recoleta | 1.93–0.59 | 69% · 20% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Club Guarani |
| Libertad Asuncion 2–1 Nacional Asuncion | 0.93–0.52 | 44% · 36% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Libertad Asuncion |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.