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6 of 6 matches with xG: 21 goals from 16.2 xG (1.30 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia 3–0 Nacional Asuncion | 1.36–1.04 | 44% · 27% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Olimpia |
| Cerro Porteno 3–0 2 de Mayo | 2.23–0.10 | 87% · 12% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Cerro Porteno |
| Deportivo Recoleta 4–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 2.30–1.23 | 61% · 19% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Recoleta |
| Sportivo Ameliano 2–2 Sportivo Luqueno | 0.93–2.68 | 11% · 15% · 74% | Draw against the xG: Sportivo Luqueno had 74% |
| Club Guarani 1–0 Libertad Asuncion | 1.14–1.07 | 37% · 29% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Club Guarani |
| Sportivo Trinidense 4–0 Rubio NU | 1.76–0.32 | 73% · 21% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Sportivo Trinidense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.