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4 of 6 matches with xG: 11 goals from 10.9 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Luqueno 1–2 Nacional Asuncion | 1.39–1.03 | 45% · 27% · 28% | Won against the xG: Nacional Asuncion |
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo 2–4 Cerro Porteno | 3.25–1.71 | 68% · 15% · 17% | Won against the xG: Cerro Porteno |
| Sportivo Trinidense 0–0 Club Guarani | 0.69–0.54 | 34% · 41% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rubio NU 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta | 1.52–0.75 | 56% · 26% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Rubio NU had 56% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.