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4 of 6 matches with xG: 11 goals from 9.8 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Luqueno 2–4 Olimpia | 1.22–3.52 | 9% · 11% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Olimpia |
| 2 de Mayo 0–2 Deportivo Recoleta | 0.38–1.41 | 10% · 27% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Recoleta |
| Cerro Porteno 1–0 Libertad Asuncion | 1.27–0.44 | 57% · 30% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Cerro Porteno |
| General Caballero 0–2 Club Guarani | 0.90–0.65 | 39% · 36% · 25% | Close call, Club Guarani won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.