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6 of 6 matches with xG: 10 goals from 13.5 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Caballero 0–1 2 de Mayo | 0.55–2.08 | 9% · 18% · 73% | Win in line with xG for 2 de Mayo |
| Libertad Asuncion 0–1 Nacional Asuncion | 0.85–0.74 | 35% · 35% · 29% | Close call, Nacional Asuncion won |
| Olimpia 3–1 Atlético Tembetary | 1.70–0.92 | 56% · 24% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Olimpia |
| Cerro Porteno 0–0 Sportivo Luqueno | 1.90–0.98 | 59% · 22% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Cerro Porteno had 59% |
| Club Guarani 0–0 Sportivo Trinidense | 0.84–0.38 | 44% · 40% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Deportivo Recoleta 3–1 Sportivo Ameliano | 1.82–0.72 | 64% · 22% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Recoleta |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.