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6 of 6 matches with xG: 18 goals from 12.5 xG (1.44 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Caballero 0–0 Sportivo Trinidense | 0.36–0.19 | 26% · 62% · 12% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sportivo Luqueno 2–1 Nacional Asuncion | 0.75–0.70 | 33% · 37% · 30% | Close call, Sportivo Luqueno won |
| Cerro Porteno 3–2 2 de Mayo | 1.99–1.22 | 55% · 22% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Cerro Porteno |
| Olimpia 1–0 Deportivo Recoleta | 1.40–0.07 | 73% · 25% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Olimpia |
| Club Guarani 4–1 Sportivo Ameliano | 2.03–0.66 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Club Guarani |
| Libertad Asuncion 3–1 Atlético Tembetary | 2.18–0.98 | 65% · 19% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Libertad Asuncion |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.