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6 of 6 matches with xG: 19 goals from 17.1 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 de Mayo 0–2 Sportivo Trinidense | 1.11–1.06 | 37% · 29% · 34% | Close call, Sportivo Trinidense won |
| Cerro Porteno 0–0 Nacional Asuncion | 0.38–1.07 | 13% · 34% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Nacional Asuncion had 53% |
| General Caballero 3–2 Sportivo Ameliano | 2.98–1.94 | 59% · 17% · 24% | Win in line with xG for General Caballero |
| Sportivo Luqueno 5–1 Atlético Tembetary | 1.72–2.54 | 26% · 19% · 56% | Won against the xG: Sportivo Luqueno |
| Club Guarani 4–0 Olimpia | 1.15–1.00 | 39% · 29% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Club Guarani |
| Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta | 1.27–0.92 | 44% · 29% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.