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6 of 6 matches with xG: 14 goals from 12.1 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Atlético Tembetary | 0.70–0.33 | 40% · 44% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| 2 de Mayo 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano | 1.49–0.88 | 52% · 26% · 22% | Draw against the xG: 2 de Mayo had 52% |
| Sportivo Luqueno 0–0 Deportivo Recoleta | 0.93–1.22 | 28% · 29% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| General Caballero 2–0 Olimpia | 0.59–0.45 | 32% · 45% · 23% | Close call, General Caballero won |
| Cerro Porteno 1–3 Sportivo Trinidense | 2.06–1.35 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Won against the xG: Sportivo Trinidense |
| Libertad Asuncion 0–4 Club Guarani | 0.62–1.51 | 15% · 26% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Club Guarani |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.