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6 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 15.4 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Grau 4–0 Cusco | 2.58–0.60 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Grau |
| Sporting Cristal 5–1 Union Comercio | 2.00–1.21 | 56% · 22% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Sporting Cristal |
| FBC Melgar 4–1 Sport Huancayo | 2.40–0.27 | 85% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for FBC Melgar |
| ADT 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos | 2.42–0.88 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for ADT |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–0 Alianza Atletico | 0.70–0.54 | 35% · 41% · 25% | Close call, Club Deportivo Los Chankas won |
| Carlos A. Mannucci 0–0 Cesar Vallejo | 1.32–0.53 | 56% · 29% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Carlos A. Mannucci had 56% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.