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7 of 9 matches with xG: 13 goals from 15.0 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universitario 0–1 Atletico Grau | 1.31–0.34 | 62% · 29% · 10% | Won against the xG: Atletico Grau |
| FBC Melgar 4–1 Sport Huancayo | 1.62–2.29 | 27% · 20% · 53% | Won against the xG: FBC Melgar |
| Cienciano 0–1 Alianza Lima | 0.96–0.60 | 43% · 35% · 22% | Won against the xG: Alianza Lima |
| Sport Boys 1–0 Cusco | 1.83–0.45 | 71% · 21% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Sport Boys |
| ADT 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos | 0.98–1.21 | 30% · 29% · 41% | Close call, ADT won |
| Deportivo Garcilaso 2–0 UTC Cajamarca | 1.29–0.38 | 60% · 29% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Garcilaso |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–0 UCV Moquegua | 1.27–0.51 | 55% · 30% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Club Deportivo Los Chankas |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.