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7 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 16.9 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Poznań 0–1 Pogon Szczecin | 0.55–0.68 | 25% · 41% · 33% | Close call, Pogon Szczecin won |
| Raków Częstochowa 3–0 Jagiellonia | 2.56–0.52 | 81% · 13% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Raków Częstochowa |
| Piast Gliwice 1–2 Lech Poznan | 3.92–0.35 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Won against the xG: Lech Poznan |
| Gornik Zabrze 0–2 Radomiak Radom | 0.56–1.77 | 11% · 22% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Radomiak Radom |
| Zaglebie Lubin 2–1 Ruch Chorzów | 0.84–0.55 | 40% · 38% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Zaglebie Lubin |
| Widzew Łódź 3–2 Puszcza Niepołomice | 2.38–1.01 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Widzew Łódź |
| Korona Kielce 1–1 Slask Wroclaw | 0.96–0.26 | 53% · 37% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Korona Kielce had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.