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5 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 15.7 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice 2–0 Warta Poznań | 1.98–0.51 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Piast Gliwice |
| Jagiellonia 2–2 Pogon Szczecin | 1.43–1.23 | 42% · 26% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Radomiak Radom 3–4 Zaglebie Lubin | 1.81–2.75 | 25% · 18% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Zaglebie Lubin |
| Stal Mielec 1–3 Legia Warszawa | 0.97–2.66 | 11% · 15% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Legia Warszawa |
| Puszcza Niepołomice 1–1 Korona Kielce | 1.63–0.76 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Puszcza Niepołomice had 58% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.