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8 of 9 matches with xG: 18 goals from 22.5 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Puszcza Niepołomice | 1.40–1.52 | 35% · 25% · 40% | Close call, Zaglebie Lubin won |
| Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Widzew Łódź | 0.56–1.89 | 10% · 20% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Widzew Łódź had 69% |
| Radomiak Radom 3–2 Warta Poznań | 2.43–2.59 | 38% · 18% · 44% | Close call, Radomiak Radom won |
| Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Stal Mielec | 1.62–0.50 | 65% · 24% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Raków Częstochowa |
| Ruch Chorzów 0–1 Jagiellonia | 0.81–1.16 | 26% · 30% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Jagiellonia |
| Slask Wroclaw 3–1 Lech Poznan | 1.30–1.82 | 27% · 23% · 50% | Won against the xG: Slask Wroclaw |
| Legia Warszawa 1–0 Korona Kielce | 1.25–0.35 | 60% · 30% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Legia Warszawa |
| Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Piast Gliwice | 0.89–2.38 | 12% · 17% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Piast Gliwice had 70% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.