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6 of 9 matches with xG: 16 goals from 12.9 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Radomiak Radom 1–1 Piast Gliwice | 0.56–0.72 | 25% · 40% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gornik Zabrze 0–2 Jagiellonia | 0.63–0.96 | 23% · 35% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Jagiellonia |
| Lechia Gdansk 1–2 Cracovia Krakow | 0.77–2.84 | 7% · 13% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Cracovia Krakow |
| Legia Warszawa 2–1 Widzew Łódź | 1.30–1.38 | 35% · 26% · 39% | Close call, Legia Warszawa won |
| GKS Katowice 1–2 Korona Kielce | 0.93–1.42 | 25% · 27% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Korona Kielce |
| Zaglebie Lubin 3–0 Slask Wroclaw | 1.17–0.24 | 61% · 32% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Zaglebie Lubin |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.