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8 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 29.1 xG (0.72 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Lubin 1–2 Motor Lublin | 0.96–3.04 | 9% · 13% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Motor Lublin |
| Lechia Gdansk 0–3 Pogon Szczecin | 1.04–2.80 | 11% · 15% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Pogon Szczecin |
| Lech Poznan 2–0 GKS Katowice | 3.45–1.25 | 79% · 12% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Lech Poznan |
| Legia Warszawa 3–2 Cracovia Krakow | 2.85–1.76 | 60% · 17% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Legia Warszawa |
| Radomiak Radom 1–2 Stal Mielec | 1.38–2.00 | 26% · 22% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Stal Mielec |
| Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Korona Kielce | 0.96–0.41 | 48% · 36% · 15% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Piast Gliwice | 2.85–0.13 | 92% · 7% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Gornik Zabrze |
| Puszcza Niepołomice 2–0 Widzew Łódź | 2.47–1.70 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Puszcza Niepołomice |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.