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8 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 22.8 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Puszcza Niepołomice 4–5 Pogon Szczecin | 0.86–2.59 | 10% · 15% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Pogon Szczecin |
| Lechia Gdansk 3–1 Piast Gliwice | 1.49–1.42 | 39% · 25% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Lechia Gdansk |
| Motor Lublin 0–1 Cracovia Krakow | 0.18–1.02 | 6% · 36% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Cracovia Krakow |
| GKS Katowice 1–3 Legia Warszawa | 1.17–3.87 | 7% · 9% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Legia Warszawa |
| Korona Kielce 3–1 Jagiellonia | 1.00–2.13 | 17% · 20% · 63% | Won against the xG: Korona Kielce |
| Gornik Zabrze 0–0 Widzew Łódź | 0.89–0.80 | 35% · 34% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Radomiak Radom 2–2 Lech Poznan | 1.52–0.73 | 56% · 26% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Radomiak Radom had 56% |
| Zaglebie Lubin 2–2 Stal Mielec | 0.96–2.20 | 15% · 19% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Stal Mielec had 66% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.