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8 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 22.0 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia 0–4 Nieciecza | 1.00–2.40 | 14% · 18% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Nieciecza |
| Lech Poznan 1–4 Cracovia Krakow | 1.10–1.01 | 37% · 30% · 33% | Close call, Cracovia Krakow won |
| Widzew Łódź 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin | 0.53–0.65 | 25% · 42% · 33% | Close call, Widzew Łódź won |
| Wisla Plock 2–0 Korona Kielce | 3.08–0.09 | 94% · 5% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Wisla Plock |
| GKS Katowice 0–1 Raków Częstochowa | 0.23–2.38 | 2% · 12% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Raków Częstochowa |
| Gornik Zabrze 2–1 Lechia Gdansk | 2.23–2.06 | 43% · 20% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Gornik Zabrze |
| Motor Lublin 1–0 Arka Gdynia | 1.83–0.93 | 59% · 23% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Motor Lublin |
| Radomiak Radom 5–1 Pogon Szczecin | 1.19–1.30 | 34% · 27% · 39% | Close call, Radomiak Radom won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.