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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 28.6 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nieciecza 2–0 Arka Gdynia | 0.70–1.49 | 18% · 26% · 56% | Won against the xG: Nieciecza |
| Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Wisla Plock | 1.37–0.95 | 47% · 27% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cracovia Krakow 1–2 Motor Lublin | 0.39–0.52 | 21% · 49% · 30% | Close call, Motor Lublin won |
| Raków Częstochowa 1–3 Piast Gliwice | 1.47–1.62 | 35% · 24% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Piast Gliwice |
| Legia Warszawa 2–2 Lechia Gdansk | 0.91–2.57 | 11% · 16% · 73% | Draw against the xG: Lechia Gdansk had 73% |
| Lech Poznan 4–1 Radomiak Radom | 2.98–1.29 | 72% · 15% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Lech Poznan |
| Widzew Łódź 1–3 Korona Kielce | 2.84–2.71 | 43% · 17% · 39% | Close call, Korona Kielce won |
| Pogon Szczecin 5–1 Zaglebie Lubin | 2.83–1.65 | 62% · 17% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Pogon Szczecin |
| Jagiellonia 2–1 GKS Katowice | 1.51–0.81 | 54% · 26% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Jagiellonia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.