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8 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 22.1 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arka Gdynia 1–0 Motor Lublin | 2.91–0.76 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Arka Gdynia |
| Pogon Szczecin 2–2 Radomiak Radom | 1.63–0.97 | 53% · 25% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Pogon Szczecin had 53% |
| Zaglebie Lubin 2–1 Widzew Łódź | 1.88–1.35 | 50% · 22% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Zaglebie Lubin |
| Piast Gliwice 2–0 Legia Warszawa | 1.66–1.36 | 45% · 24% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Piast Gliwice |
| Nieciecza 2–1 Jagiellonia | 0.54–0.92 | 21% · 36% · 43% | Won against the xG: Nieciecza |
| Cracovia Krakow 2–2 Lech Poznan | 2.48–1.72 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Cracovia Krakow had 55% |
| Raków Częstochowa 1–0 GKS Katowice | 1.48–0.86 | 52% · 26% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Raków Częstochowa |
| Korona Kielce 1–1 Wisla Plock | 1.22–0.41 | 57% · 31% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Korona Kielce had 57% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.