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Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 23

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Matches

Matchday 23 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 29.2 xG (1.06 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Cracovia Krakow 2–3 Piast Gliwice1.20–1.8025% · 23% · 51%Win in line with xG for Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia 2–2 Lechia Gdansk1.33–1.9925% · 22% · 53%Draw against the xG: Lechia Gdansk had 53%
Pogon Szczecin 1–0 Widzew Łódź0.53–0.9420% · 36% · 44%Won against the xG: Pogon Szczecin
Motor Lublin 2–0 Korona Kielce1.67–1.8236% · 22% · 42%Close call, Motor Lublin won
GKS Katowice 3–1 Gornik Zabrze2.52–1.8253% · 19% · 28%Win in line with xG for GKS Katowice
Nieciecza 1–1 Radomiak Radom1.58–1.8234% · 22% · 44%Draw in line with xG
Jagiellonia 2–2 Legia Warszawa1.78–0.8559% · 23% · 18%Draw against the xG: Jagiellonia had 59%
Lech Poznan 4–3 Raków Częstochowa2.77–1.9356% · 18% · 26%Win in line with xG for Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin 2–0 Wisla Plock1.54–1.2744% · 25% · 31%Win in line with xG for Zaglebie Lubin

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 22 · Matchday 24

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