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Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 33

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Matches

Matchday 33 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 23.6 xG (1.23 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Pogon Szczecin0.56–1.9710% · 19% · 71%Win in line with xG for Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce 1–0 Widzew Łódź0.80–0.5339% · 39% · 22%Close call, Korona Kielce won
Motor Lublin 3–3 Cracovia Krakow1.64–1.4642% · 24% · 34%Draw in line with xG
Wisla Plock 0–1 Gornik Zabrze0.73–1.0126% · 33% · 41%Win in line with xG for Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom 1–3 Lech Poznan0.50–1.4013% · 27% · 59%Win in line with xG for Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice 1–3 Raków Częstochowa3.28–0.8384% · 10% · 6%Won against the xG: Raków Częstochowa
GKS Katowice 2–2 Jagiellonia1.10–2.0819% · 21% · 60%Draw against the xG: Jagiellonia had 60%
Lechia Gdansk 1–2 Legia Warszawa1.03–1.5326% · 26% · 49%Win in line with xG for Legia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia 2–3 Nieciecza1.95–1.2454% · 22% · 24%Won against the xG: Nieciecza

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 32 · Matchday 34

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