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8 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 25.1 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce 3–0 Radomiak Radom | 1.88–0.59 | 68% · 21% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Korona Kielce |
| Gornik Zabrze 0–1 Nieciecza | 1.92–0.66 | 67% · 21% · 12% | Won against the xG: Nieciecza |
| Arka Gdynia 2–1 Pogon Szczecin | 0.76–2.59 | 9% · 15% · 77% | Won against the xG: Arka Gdynia |
| Widzew Łódź 1–1 Wisla Plock | 0.82–0.75 | 34% · 36% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Jagiellonia 5–2 Cracovia Krakow | 2.40–2.44 | 40% · 19% · 41% | Close call, Jagiellonia won |
| Legia Warszawa 3–1 GKS Katowice | 2.41–1.16 | 65% · 18% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Legia Warszawa |
| Lechia Gdansk 3–3 Motor Lublin | 2.58–0.99 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Lechia Gdansk had 72% |
| Raków Częstochowa 0–1 Zaglebie Lubin | 0.95–2.16 | 15% · 20% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Zaglebie Lubin |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.