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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 25.3 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao 1–2 Casa Pia | 0.48–1.19 | 15% · 31% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Casa Pia |
| Rio Ave 1–1 Benfica | 1.50–1.59 | 36% · 24% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Boavista 2–2 Vizela | 2.21–1.49 | 54% · 20% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Boavista had 54% |
| Estrela 1–0 Gil Vicente | 0.95–1.29 | 27% · 28% · 44% | Won against the xG: Estrela |
| Farense 1–3 Portimonense | 0.61–1.54 | 15% · 25% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Portimonense |
| Arouca 1–3 Vitória Guimarães | 1.49–1.06 | 47% · 26% · 27% | Won against the xG: Vitória Guimarães |
| Sporting CP 3–0 Chaves | 2.72–1.39 | 66% · 17% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Moreirense 2–1 Estoril | 1.45–1.77 | 32% · 23% · 45% | Close call, Moreirense won |
| SC Braga 0–1 FC Porto | 0.34–2.22 | 4% · 15% · 81% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.