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Most points above xPts: FC Porto (+17.2 pts), Sporting CP (+10.0 pts), Benfica (+9.4 pts).
Most points below xPts: Tondela (−12.2 pts), Santa Clara (−10.5 pts), Estrela (−8.8 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 34 | 72.3 | 26.5 | 72.0 | 82 | +10.0 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 1 | 34 | 62.1 | 22.0 | 70.8 | 88 | +17.2 |
| 3 | Benfica | 3 | 34 | 70.2 | 28.2 | 70.6 | 80 | +9.4 |
| 4 | SC Braga | 4 | 34 | 57.3 | 37.5 | 58.3 | 59 | +0.7 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 5 | 34 | 45.7 | 33.7 | 55.0 | 56 | +1.0 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 34 | 44.9 | 36.8 | 51.4 | 50 | −1.4 |
| 7 | Alverca | 11 | 34 | 40.9 | 41.9 | 46.8 | 39 | −7.8 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 12 | 34 | 36.4 | 35.2 | 46.5 | 36 | −10.5 |
| 9 | Vitória Guimarães | 8 | 34 | 41.0 | 47.2 | 44.3 | 42 | −2.3 |
| 10 | Tondela | 17 | 34 | 38.0 | 50.4 | 40.2 | 28 | −12.2 |
| 11 | Nacional | 14 | 34 | 39.2 | 52.5 | 39.9 | 34 | −5.9 |
| 12 | Estoril | 10 | 34 | 42.7 | 55.3 | 39.4 | 39 | −0.4 |
| 13 | Estrela | 15 | 34 | 40.9 | 53.7 | 38.8 | 30 | −8.8 |
| 14 | Arouca | 9 | 34 | 34.0 | 51.9 | 38.5 | 42 | +3.5 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 13 | 34 | 35.4 | 53.8 | 36.8 | 36 | −0.8 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 7 | 34 | 31.5 | 51.6 | 34.9 | 43 | +8.1 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 16 | 34 | 31.7 | 55.3 | 33.1 | 30 | −3.1 |
| 18 | AVS | 18 | 34 | 32.0 | 62.8 | 28.7 | 21 | −7.7 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.