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2 of 8 matches with xG: 1 goals from 3.2 xG (0.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fakel 0–0 Baltika | 0.32–0.50 | 18% · 51% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dynamo 1–0 Rubin | 1.27–1.14 | 39% · 28% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.