Russia Premier League 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 18

Matchday 18 in xG

2 of 8 matches with xG: 2 goals from 3.8 xG (0.53 goals per xG).

• Biggest win against the xG: Akhmat 1–0 FC Orenburg (xG 0.44–0.93). The winner had 17% on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 Nizhny Novgorod (xG 0.72–1.67). The winner had 60% on xG.
• Most xG: Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 Nizhny Novgorod (xG 0.72–1.67). 2.39 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 Nizhny Novgorod (xG 0.72–1.67). An xG gap of 0.95.
• Most goals above xG: Akhmat, +0.56 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: FC Orenburg, -0.93 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 16