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Most points above xPts: CSKA Moscow (+4.7 pts), Lokomotiv (+3.7 pts), Baltika (+2.8 pts).
Most points below xPts: FC Rostov (−4.6 pts), FC Orenburg (−2.8 pts), FC Sochi (−2.8 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akron | 1 | 6 | 10.5 | 6.9 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| 2 | Zenit | 7 | 5 | 9.7 | 3.8 | 10.2 | 8 | −2.2 |
| 3 | FC Krasnodar | 3 | 5 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 10.2 | 12 | +1.8 |
| 4 | Akhmat | 11 | 6 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 8.4 | 6 | −2.4 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv | 2 | 5 | 8.4 | 5.6 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| 6 | Baltika | 4 | 5 | 8.5 | 6.3 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| 7 | FC Rostov | 14 | 5 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 7.6 | 3 | −4.6 |
| 8 | Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 7.6 | 6 | −1.6 |
| 9 | Rubin | 9 | 5 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| 10 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 5 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 6.8 | 4 | −2.8 |
| 11 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 8 | 6 | 4.7 | 7.2 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 15 | 6 | 4.9 | 9.4 | 5.6 | 3 | −2.6 |
| 13 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 4 | 6.4 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 10 | +4.7 |
| 14 | Krylia Sovetov | 6 | 5 | 4.7 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| 15 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 5 | 5.8 | 9.3 | 5.0 | 4 | −1.0 |
| 16 | FC Sochi | 16 | 6 | 4.4 | 11.8 | 3.8 | 1 | −2.8 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.