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6 of 6 matches with xG: 18 goals from 17.0 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee 1–3 Aberdeen | 1.12–1.84 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Aberdeen |
| Hibernian 3–0 Falkirk | 2.06–1.15 | 58% · 21% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Hibernian |
| Motherwell 3–0 Livingston | 2.74–1.14 | 71% · 16% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Motherwell |
| St Mirren 2–0 Dundee United | 2.01–0.53 | 73% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for St Mirren |
| Kilmarnock 0–3 Rangers | 0.81–1.42 | 21% · 27% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Rangers |
| Celtic 1–2 Hearts | 1.24–0.92 | 44% · 29% · 27% | Won against the xG: Hearts |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.