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6 of 6 matches with xG: 25 goals from 19.1 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen 2–0 Hibernian | 1.93–0.16 | 81% · 16% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Aberdeen |
| Celtic 1–0 St Mirren | 0.94–0.25 | 52% · 38% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Celtic |
| Dundee United 3–2 Livingston | 1.87–1.87 | 39% · 21% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Dundee United |
| Hearts 3–1 Motherwell | 1.74–2.01 | 34% · 21% · 45% | Close call, Hearts won |
| Kilmarnock 2–2 Dundee | 1.63–1.32 | 45% · 24% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Falkirk 3–6 Rangers | 1.67–3.72 | 13% · 12% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Rangers |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.