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Most points above xPts: Hearts (+11.6 pts), Celtic (+9.8 pts), Rangers (+4.7 pts).
Most points below xPts: St Mirren (−12.9 pts), Livingston (−9.7 pts), Dundee United (−4.9 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 3 | 28 | 51.9 | 30.5 | 50.3 | 55 | +4.7 |
| 2 | Celtic | 1 | 25 | 50.5 | 24.5 | 49.2 | 59 | +9.8 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 4 | 28 | 39.6 | 30.6 | 45.2 | 45 | −0.2 |
| 4 | Hearts | 2 | 27 | 39.4 | 26.8 | 44.4 | 56 | +11.6 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 5 | 30 | 36.9 | 36.5 | 42.8 | 44 | +1.2 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 6 | 27 | 36.9 | 34.4 | 37.4 | 37 | −0.4 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 11 | 25 | 24.5 | 26.6 | 32.9 | 20 | −12.9 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 27 | 36.8 | 46.5 | 32.2 | 31 | −1.2 |
| 9 | Dundee United | 10 | 27 | 32.8 | 45.0 | 30.9 | 26 | −4.9 |
| 10 | Dundee | 8 | 28 | 31.2 | 45.1 | 30.5 | 31 | +0.5 |
| 11 | Livingston | 12 | 28 | 30.5 | 49.5 | 27.7 | 18 | −9.7 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 9 | 26 | 27.7 | 42.8 | 27.5 | 26 | −1.5 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.