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8 of 8 matches with xG: 25 goals from 25.8 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napredak 2–4 Radnicki NIS | 1.26–3.88 | 7% · 10% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Radnicki NIS |
| FK Partizan 2–1 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 1.03–1.15 | 32% · 29% · 38% | Close call, FK Partizan won |
| Cukaricki 2–3 Vojvodina | 2.08–0.68 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Won against the xG: Vojvodina |
| Železničar Pančevo 0–3 FK Crvena Zvezda | 0.98–3.74 | 5% · 9% · 86% | Win in line with xG for FK Crvena Zvezda |
| Novi Pazar 2–1 OFK Beograd | 1.13–1.25 | 33% · 28% · 39% | Close call, Novi Pazar won |
| Radnicki 1923 0–0 Radnik Surdulica | 0.36–1.24 | 11% · 30% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Radnik Surdulica had 59% |
| Mladost Lucani 1–3 TSC Backa Topola | 2.38–3.03 | 31% · 17% · 52% | Win in line with xG for TSC Backa Topola |
| IMT Novi Beograd 1–0 Javor | 1.57–0.03 | 78% · 21% · 1% | Win in line with xG for IMT Novi Beograd |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.