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7 of 8 matches with xG: 18 goals from 20.1 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 1–3 Radnik Surdulica | 0.68–2.17 | 10% · 18% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Radnik Surdulica |
| Javor 0–0 Novi Pazar | 1.13–1.41 | 30% · 26% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| FK Crvena Zvezda 2–0 Radnicki NIS | 2.43–0.54 | 79% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for FK Crvena Zvezda |
| Vojvodina 4–1 Napredak | 2.77–0.81 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Vojvodina |
| Mladost Lucani 1–1 FK Partizan | 0.34–1.26 | 10% · 30% · 60% | Draw against the xG: FK Partizan had 60% |
| TSC Backa Topola 0–0 Radnicki 1923 | 1.25–1.56 | 31% · 25% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cukaricki 3–2 Železničar Pančevo | 2.48–1.24 | 64% · 18% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Cukaricki |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.