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6 of 7 matches with xG: 18 goals from 18.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Crvena Zvezda 5–0 Macva | 3.93–0.01 | 98% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for FK Crvena Zvezda |
| Železničar Pančevo 2–1 Radnicki NIS | 0.92–1.05 | 31% · 31% · 38% | Close call, Železničar Pančevo won |
| Novi Pazar 1–0 Radnicki 1923 | 1.05–1.88 | 21% · 22% · 57% | Won against the xG: Novi Pazar |
| Zemun 2–2 FK Partizan | 1.17–2.55 | 16% · 17% · 67% | Draw against the xG: FK Partizan had 67% |
| Cukaricki 0–1 IMT Novi Beograd | 1.78–1.39 | 47% · 23% · 30% | Close call, IMT Novi Beograd won |
| Vojvodina 4–0 OFK Beograd | 2.15–0.29 | 81% · 15% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Vojvodina |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.