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7 of 7 matches with xG: 10 goals from 16.8 xG (0.59 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMT Novi Beograd 0–1 Železničar Pančevo | 0.61–0.78 | 26% · 38% · 36% | Close call, Železničar Pančevo won |
| Radnicki 1923 1–0 Radnik Surdulica | 1.91–0.74 | 65% · 21% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Radnicki 1923 |
| Radnicki NIS 0–2 Novi Pazar | 1.26–0.98 | 43% · 28% · 29% | Close call, Novi Pazar won |
| Zemun 1–0 Macva | 0.57–0.49 | 30% · 45% · 25% | Close call, Zemun won |
| FK Partizan 0–2 Cukaricki | 2.29–1.72 | 51% · 20% · 29% | Won against the xG: Cukaricki |
| Mladost Lucani 1–1 Vojvodina | 1.31–2.33 | 21% · 19% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Vojvodina had 60% |
| OFK Beograd 0–1 FK Crvena Zvezda | 0.62–1.22 | 19% · 30% · 51% | Win in line with xG for FK Crvena Zvezda |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.