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4 of 7 matches with xG: 10 goals from 12.7 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Crvena Zvezda 4–0 Cukaricki | 2.42–1.05 | 68% · 18% · 15% | Win in line with xG for FK Crvena Zvezda |
| Radnik Surdulica 1–0 Novi Pazar | 0.67–1.15 | 21% · 31% · 47% | Won against the xG: Radnik Surdulica |
| Mladost Lucani 3–1 FK Partizan | 1.40–2.22 | 24% · 20% · 56% | Won against the xG: Mladost Lucani |
| Vojvodina 1–0 Železničar Pančevo | 3.41–0.33 | 93% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Vojvodina |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.