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7 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 13.2 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kaizer Chiefs 1–1 Stellenbosch | 1.13–0.85 | 42% · 31% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Richards Bay 1–4 Mamelodi Sundowns | 0.51–1.86 | 9% · 21% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Mamelodi Sundowns |
| Orlando Pirates 3–0 TS Galaxy | 1.97–0.61 | 70% · 20% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Orlando Pirates |
| Chippa United 0–1 Kruger United | 0.34–1.02 | 12% · 35% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Kruger United |
| Golden Arrows 0–1 Milford FC | 0.85–1.08 | 28% · 31% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Milford FC |
| Sekhukhune United 2–1 Marumo Gallants | 1.62–0.66 | 61% · 24% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Sekhukhune United |
| Siwelele 1–0 Polokwane City | 0.57–0.17 | 38% · 52% · 9% | Close call, Siwelele won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.