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6 of 6 matches with xG: 20 goals from 18.2 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Suwon City FC 2–1 Gwangju FC | 0.56–1.67 | 12% · 23% · 65% | Won against the xG: Suwon City FC |
| Daegu FC 2–3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1.35–1.27 | 39% · 26% · 35% | Close call, Gimcheon Sangmu FC won |
| Gangwon FC 2–2 Daejeon Citizen | 2.27–3.06 | 28% · 17% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Daejeon Citizen had 55% |
| Pohang Steelers 2–3 Jeonbuk Motors | 2.02–2.06 | 39% · 20% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Jeonbuk Motors |
| Jeju United FC 2–0 FC Anyang | 1.00–0.30 | 53% · 36% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Jeju United FC |
| FC Seoul 1–0 Ulsan Hyundai FC | 0.70–1.93 | 13% · 21% · 67% | Won against the xG: FC Seoul |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.