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4 of 6 matches with xG: 15 goals from 12.2 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Citizen 2–1 Jeonbuk Motors | 2.42–0.90 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Daejeon Citizen |
| Gangwon FC 2–0 Bucheon FC 1995 | 1.74–0.79 | 60% · 23% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Gangwon FC |
| Incheon United 3–0 Pohang Steelers | 1.08–0.65 | 46% · 33% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Incheon United |
| Gwangju FC 4–3 Ulsan Hyundai FC | 2.30–2.35 | 40% · 19% · 41% | Close call, Gwangju FC won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.