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6 of 11 matches with xG: 11 goals from 13.3 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AD Ceuta FC 1–0 Burgos | 1.92–1.75 | 43% · 22% · 36% | Win in line with xG for AD Ceuta FC |
| Cultural Leonesa 0–1 Granada CF | 0.67–0.79 | 28% · 37% · 35% | Close call, Granada CF won |
| Racing Santander 4–0 Eibar | 1.78–0.99 | 56% · 23% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Racing Santander |
| Cordoba 1–2 Cadiz | 0.67–1.18 | 21% · 31% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Cadiz |
| Mirandes 1–0 Real Sociedad II | 0.67–1.12 | 22% · 32% · 46% | Won against the xG: Mirandes |
| Castellón 1–0 Las Palmas | 1.29–0.49 | 57% · 29% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Castellón |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.