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8 of 11 matches with xG: 22 goals from 19.2 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba 2–1 Leganes | 2.44–1.42 | 60% · 19% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Cordoba |
| Burgos 1–1 Cadiz | 1.43–0.52 | 60% · 27% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Burgos had 60% |
| Granada CF 5–1 Valladolid | 2.06–0.89 | 64% · 20% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Granada CF |
| Mirandes 1–1 Las Palmas | 0.27–1.06 | 9% · 35% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Las Palmas had 56% |
| Eibar 2–1 Racing Santander | 2.02–0.69 | 69% · 20% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Eibar |
| Huesca 2–0 AD Ceuta FC | 1.31–0.99 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Huesca |
| Albacete 1–1 Sporting Gijon | 1.20–1.70 | 27% · 24% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Castellón 2–0 Deportivo La Coruna | 0.23–0.93 | 9% · 38% · 53% | Won against the xG: Castellón |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.