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8 of 11 matches with xG: 25 goals from 22.6 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz 0–1 Zaragoza | 0.60–0.53 | 31% · 43% · 26% | Close call, Zaragoza won |
| Real Sociedad II 4–2 Castellón | 2.18–3.35 | 24% · 16% · 61% | Won against the xG: Real Sociedad II |
| Las Palmas 4–0 AD Ceuta FC | 2.63–0.19 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Las Palmas |
| FC Andorra 1–0 Sporting Gijon | 1.54–0.51 | 63% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for FC Andorra |
| Racing Santander 4–3 Cordoba | 2.12–2.60 | 32% · 19% · 49% | Close call, Racing Santander won |
| Leganes 0–1 Eibar | 0.84–1.50 | 21% · 26% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Eibar |
| Deportivo La Coruna 0–2 Granada CF | 0.68–1.35 | 19% · 28% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Granada CF |
| Almeria 3–0 Cultural Leonesa | 1.58–0.35 | 68% · 24% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Almeria |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.