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5 of 11 matches with xG: 18 goals from 12.6 xG (1.43 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz 1–3 Cordoba | 0.53–1.73 | 11% · 22% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Cordoba |
| Albacete 2–3 Burgos | 0.40–1.09 | 14% · 33% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Burgos |
| Eibar 3–0 AD Ceuta FC | 2.25–0.17 | 85% · 13% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Eibar |
| Castellón 3–2 Granada CF | 1.61–1.78 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Close call, Castellón won |
| Sporting Gijon 1–0 Real Sociedad II | 2.21–0.83 | 69% · 19% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Sporting Gijon |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.