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9 of 11 matches with xG: 20 goals from 26.6 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AD Ceuta FC 1–0 Albacete | 1.19–1.05 | 39% · 29% · 32% | Win in line with xG for AD Ceuta FC |
| Real Sociedad II 1–1 Cultural Leonesa | 1.36–0.71 | 52% · 28% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Real Sociedad II had 52% |
| Granada CF 1–2 Sporting Gijon | 1.14–0.38 | 55% · 32% · 12% | Won against the xG: Sporting Gijon |
| Zaragoza 0–2 Malaga | 0.40–3.38 | 2% · 7% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Malaga |
| Racing Santander 4–1 Cadiz | 2.93–1.12 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Racing Santander |
| Almeria 1–0 Valladolid | 3.29–1.18 | 78% · 12% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Almeria |
| Castellón 2–1 Eibar | 1.94–0.85 | 63% · 21% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Castellón |
| Cordoba 1–1 Huesca | 2.65–1.39 | 64% · 17% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Cordoba had 64% |
| Leganes 1–0 Mirandes | 0.37–1.31 | 10% · 29% · 61% | Won against the xG: Leganes |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.