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7 of 8 matches with xG: 13 goals from 17.2 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm 1–0 Mjallby AIF | 0.59–0.21 | 38% · 51% · 11% | Close call, AIK Stockholm won |
| Halmstad 0–0 Degerfors IF | 1.84–0.67 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Halmstad had 65% |
| IFK Goteborg 0–1 Sirius | 0.90–0.88 | 34% · 33% · 33% | Close call, Sirius won |
| Kalmar FF 1–0 Malmo FF | 0.72–1.17 | 23% · 31% · 47% | Won against the xG: Kalmar FF |
| IFK Varnamo 2–1 IFK Norrkoping | 1.71–1.13 | 51% · 24% · 25% | Win in line with xG for IFK Varnamo |
| IF Brommapojkarna 0–3 IF Elfsborg | 0.81–2.02 | 14% · 20% · 66% | Win in line with xG for IF Elfsborg |
| Hammarby FF 2–2 BK Hacken | 1.66–2.94 | 20% · 16% · 64% | Draw against the xG: BK Hacken had 64% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.