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7 of 8 matches with xG: 29 goals from 23.3 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Varnamo 0–0 Hammarby FF | 0.80–0.62 | 37% · 38% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Djurgardens IF 2–4 Sirius | 1.81–1.75 | 40% · 22% · 38% | Close call, Sirius won |
| BK Hacken 4–2 Malmo FF | 2.32–2.47 | 38% · 19% · 43% | Close call, BK Hacken won |
| Halmstad 3–0 Kalmar FF | 1.56–1.02 | 50% · 25% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Halmstad |
| IF Elfsborg 2–2 Degerfors IF | 2.65–1.10 | 70% · 16% · 13% | Draw against the xG: IF Elfsborg had 70% |
| Mjallby AIF 1–2 IF Brommapojkarna | 0.41–1.41 | 11% · 27% · 62% | Win in line with xG for IF Brommapojkarna |
| IFK Norrkoping 4–3 Varbergs BoIS FC | 3.18–2.23 | 57% · 16% · 26% | Win in line with xG for IFK Norrkoping |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.