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5 of 8 matches with xG: 14 goals from 13.5 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm 2–0 IFK Varnamo | 2.09–0.91 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Win in line with xG for AIK Stockholm |
| IF Brommapojkarna 1–1 Sirius | 1.51–1.46 | 39% · 24% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Djurgardens IF 0–1 Malmo FF | 0.15–2.00 | 2% · 15% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Malmo FF |
| IFK Norrkoping 4–2 IF Elfsborg | 1.07–1.67 | 24% · 24% · 51% | Won against the xG: IFK Norrkoping |
| Vasteras SK FK 2–1 Mjallby AIF | 1.27–1.38 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Close call, Vasteras SK FK won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.