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7 of 8 matches with xG: 11 goals from 14.9 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| BK Hacken 0–3 Mjallby AIF | 1.33–1.67 | 31% · 24% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Mjallby AIF |
| IF Elfsborg 2–0 IFK Norrkoping | 2.11–1.04 | 62% · 20% · 18% | Win in line with xG for IF Elfsborg |
| Hammarby FF 2–0 Djurgardens IF | 0.83–0.65 | 37% · 37% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Hammarby FF |
| IFK Varnamo 0–1 IFK Goteborg | 0.40–0.72 | 18% · 43% · 39% | Close call, IFK Goteborg won |
| Gais 2–0 Degerfors IF | 1.23–1.36 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Close call, Gais won |
| Halmstad 1–0 Osters IF | 1.25–0.61 | 52% · 30% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Halmstad |
| AIK Stockholm 0–0 Malmo FF | 1.19–0.50 | 53% · 31% · 16% | Draw against the xG: AIK Stockholm had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.