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4 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 10.8 xG (1.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby FF 2–0 Malmo FF | 0.93–0.65 | 40% · 35% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Hammarby FF |
| IF Elfsborg 4–3 Sirius | 1.55–1.96 | 31% · 22% · 47% | Close call, IF Elfsborg won |
| BK Hacken 3–4 Degerfors IF | 2.55–1.24 | 66% · 17% · 17% | Won against the xG: Degerfors IF |
| Halmstad 1–3 Mjallby AIF | 1.23–0.73 | 48% · 30% · 22% | Won against the xG: Mjallby AIF |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.