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7 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 24.5 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Degerfors IF 1–1 Sirius | 2.51–1.05 | 69% · 17% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Degerfors IF had 69% |
| Halmstad 4–2 IFK Varnamo | 1.57–1.28 | 44% · 25% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Halmstad |
| Djurgardens IF 1–1 AIK Stockholm | 1.98–1.51 | 49% · 22% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| IFK Norrkoping 0–2 BK Hacken | 0.92–1.98 | 17% · 21% · 62% | Win in line with xG for BK Hacken |
| Osters IF 0–3 Hammarby FF | 0.78–1.66 | 17% · 24% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Hammarby FF |
| Malmo FF 1–2 IF Brommapojkarna | 2.73–2.69 | 42% · 18% · 41% | Close call, IF Brommapojkarna won |
| IF Elfsborg 2–0 Gais | 1.42–2.41 | 22% · 19% · 59% | Won against the xG: IF Elfsborg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.